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publications The WTOs Global Trade Outlook and Statistics provides the WTO Secretariat's forecasts for world trade in 2026 and 2027. Breakdowns of product and commercial services trade by sector and region are supplied, together with details on leading traders.

economic research The WTOs Global Trade Outlook and Data analyses current international trade developments and provides the company's projections for product trade volume. Breakdowns of merchandise and commercial services trade by sector and area are supplied, together with information on leading traders. The report is released twice a year. The primary projection is provided in April while the update is released in October.

We at Trade Data Display are paying attention to what's happening through the prism of official trade statistics. It's a drastically different world than when I began covering trade for the Wall Street Journal 20 years earlier.

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Shut out of the U.S., many Chinese exporters are discovering brand-new markets in Europe. Beijing is not quiting its export-dependent growth model, which in 2025 propelled the world's first-ever trillion-dollar trade surplus. Via our system for reverse engineering trade data, we can recognize that Russia's import need is diminishing.

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The majority of the world has not quit on trade. In October, global container volumes increased 2.1%. The U.S. is an outlier. According to Bloomberg, the U.S. saw an 8% contraction in incoming deliveries. President Trump threatened much greater levies, the U.S. effective tariff rate is "just" around 15%.

Here are our top trade patterns to watch in 2026. Eight of the world's leading 10 exporters of chips, categorized under HS8541 and HS8542 are Asian.

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Gradually, the world's road and filling stations are being rewired. One repercussion is flourishing trade in the vital minerals, like cobalt, manganese and nickel, required to build electrical cars and batteries.

The future of the U.S.-China trade relationship appears uncertain at best. When we added up total trade between the 2 behemoths, the only sector has grew in 2025 was airplane.

shipped $12.5 billion of aircraft and aircraft parts to China in the first nine months of 2025, up 45% from the very same duration in 2024. At TDM, we've been discussing Vietnam's promise for a decade, so we're not surprised to see its strong export numbers. The remarkable aspect of Vietnam isn't that it has actually ended up being an export device, it's that its production capability has increased across so broad a base.

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The IMF and other institutions anticipate Russian GDP development of only around 1% in 2026. The biggest recipient of the U.S.'s trade war with China has actually been Mexico.

import data paint a photo. Now with the world's most significant population, India has now surpassed Japan as the world's 4th biggest economy, behind the U.S., China and Germany. Its top market: the U.S., followed by UAE and the Netherlands. Trade protection focuses on the huge countries, but we have actually been studying smaller players, and one interesting case research study is Egypt.

In 2025, Egypt clocked the most significant increase in garments exports, shipping $2.6 billion in the first 9 months of 2025, 30.7% more than the year before. The 2nd highest boost was registered by Cambodia at 16.9%, and no other country enhanced by double digits. America is a big continental economy with lots of unique financial regions and sea- and airports.

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Texas and California are still the most significant exporters in general, but New York leads the race in year-on, because of its sell physical gold. Arizona ranks 2nd due to the fact that of its electronics trade with Mexico. Third is Indiana, thanks to its exports of hormonal agents to Italy. A retaliatory tariff and a "Buy Canadian" motion have actually dented U.S. In an illustrative anecdote, Mims tells the story of a USB battery charger. After leaving a factory in Vietnam, Mims recounts, the charger "has traveled more than 14,000 miles, throughout 12 times zones, by truck, barge, crane, container ship, crane, and truck once again, all before it trundled down a few hundred lawns of conveyor, flitted about on the back of a robot, and was transported once again on, all told, miles more conveyor and at least two more trucks, before being hand-carried to someone's front door.".